11AM update: Erika's track has shifted west a bit.
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Regardless of tropical storm landfall west or east in the cone, we could still get tropical storm winds and rain.
ERIKA, SLIGHT SHIFT IN TRACK...
The 11am up date from the National Hurricane Center has the center of Erika just south of Hispaniola and moving WNW at 18mph with winds at 50mph.
Erika is expected move over Hispaniola throughout afternoon and evening. Interacting with the mountains of Hispaniola and wind shear will weaken the storm, and perhaps cause it to fall apart.
If Erika makes it north of Hispaniola tonight, the forecast track takes it northwest, near northern Cuba, and then north into South Florida by late Sunday/early Monday as a Tropical Storm.
If that happens, we could be seeing Tropical Storm conditions from late Sunday through at least part of Tuesday.
The new track has been shifted to the west a little bit, and shows Erika moving north closer to the west coast of Florida. That would put us on the much wetter side of the storm.
Drivers gas up ahead of Tropical Storm Erika